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Red105
378736.6
48828.1
378616.7
Blue97
49237.5
177822.1
131850.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4986010015020010597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.62.4
24.226.6
Auto0.5
Teleop36.1
End0.0
blue by 13.6
50.20.7
41.141.8
Auto1.3
Teleop49.0
End0.0
Second
488
#9
28.12.4
23.225.6
Auto0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 9.4
492
#3
37.50.7
24.224.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Third
3786
#19
16.74.0
9.613.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 5.4
1778
#13
22.10.7
18.218.9
Auto0.6
Teleop21.5
End0.0