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Red6
413116.9
255520.5
407713.7
Blue62
491141.6
465414.9
403015.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872050100150200662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2555
#14
20.51.2
11.510.2
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 21.0
41.60.3
38.838.5
Auto0.0
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
4131
#20
16.91.2
10.29.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 1.0
4030
#29
15.90.3
17.317.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
4077
#30
13.71.2
14.613.4
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
4654
#27
14.90.3
11.611.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0