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Red79
368119.1
378616.7
446114.5
Blue60
430412.7
408922.7
241227.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354601001502007960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3681
#16
19.12.1
16.618.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 8.3
27.31.6
24.025.6
Auto0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Second
3786
#19
16.73.4
13.416.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 6.1
4089
#10
22.71.6
15.216.8
Auto0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
4461
#26
14.53.4
7.711.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 1.8
4304
#25
12.72.7
6.69.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0