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Red100
49237.5
549515.9
378736.6
Blue68
255724.3
94923.1
407713.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714902040608010012014010068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#3
37.51.5
30.131.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 13.3
2557
#18
24.30.7
20.721.4
Auto0.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
36.61.5
28.630.1
Auto0.5
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 13.5
949
#21
23.10.7
21.722.4
Auto0.2
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Third
5495
#24
15.91.5
11.813.3
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 2.1
4077
#30
13.70.7
12.012.7
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0