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Red24
52954.2
255520.5
418015.9
Blue46
491526.8
446114.5
465414.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335001001502446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2555
#14
20.50.7
17.216.6
Auto0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
blue by 6.3
4915
#12
26.80.2
27.527.3
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Second
4180
#28
15.90.7
18.017.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 1.0
4654
#27
14.90.2
8.98.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
5295
#32
4.20.7
1.81.1
Auto0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 10.3
4461
#26
14.50.2
12.812.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0