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Red75
558816.6
368119.1
241227.3
Blue18
491141.6
307015.8
549515.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537501001502007518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.30.8
26.427.2
Auto0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 14.2
41.62.8
43.040.2
Auto0.0
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
3681
#16
19.10.8
17.418.2
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 3.2
5495
#24
15.92.8
14.711.8
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
5588
#17
16.61.1
14.916.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 0.8
3070
#15
15.82.8
16.914.1
Auto0.6
Teleop15.2
End0.0