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Red82
403015.9
255724.3
491141.6
Blue76
378616.7
131850.2
326816.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787740601001208276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.1
40.240.3
Auto0.0
Teleop41.5
End0.0
blue by 8.7
50.20.3
48.748.4
Auto1.3
Teleop49.0
End0.0
Second
2557
#18
24.30.1
24.524.6
Auto0.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 7.6
3786
#19
16.70.3
17.417.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
4030
#29
15.90.1
14.815.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 0.2
3268
#22
16.00.3
15.315.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0