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Red75
241227.3
465414.9
407713.7
Blue82
48828.1
49237.5
368119.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39880501001502007582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.4
27.228.6
Auto0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 10.2
492
#3
37.50.1
36.636.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop37.6
End0.0
Second
4654
#27
14.91.4
8.810.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 13.2
488
#9
28.10.1
28.528.5
Auto0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Third
4077
#30
13.71.4
11.813.1
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 5.4
3681
#16
19.10.1
18.218.2
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0