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Red23
29426.9
491526.8
558816.6
Blue84
408922.7
468214.7
131850.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458601001502002384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#12
26.81.5
27.325.8
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 23.4
50.20.1
48.448.5
Auto1.3
Teleop49.0
End0.0
Second
5588
#17
16.61.7
17.916.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 6.1
4089
#10
22.70.1
21.521.6
Auto0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
2942
#31
6.91.8
8.06.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 7.8
4682
#23
14.70.1
12.512.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0