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Red101
465414.9
451220.4
549515.9
Blue53
378616.7
241227.3
403015.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336305010015010153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4512
#11
20.43.1
16.920.0
Auto0.6
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
27.30.4
28.628.2
Auto0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Second
5495
#24
15.93.1
12.215.3
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 0.8
3786
#19
16.70.4
17.116.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
4654
#27
14.93.1
10.113.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4030
#29
15.90.4
15.014.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.2
End0.0