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Red102
366354.9
430412.7
177822.1
Blue96
407713.7
491141.6
468132.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848060709010011012010296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.8
52.453.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 13.4
41.60.6
40.341.0
Auto0.0
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
1778
#13
22.10.8
22.122.9
Auto0.6
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 10.0
32.10.6
30.230.8
Auto0.9
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Third
4304
#25
12.70.9
11.812.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
4077
#30
13.70.6
13.113.7
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0