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Red57
29426.9
408922.7
307015.8
Blue79
378736.6
396833.2
491526.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301020501502005779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#10
22.70.7
21.622.3
Auto0.1
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 13.9
36.60.8
35.634.9
Auto0.5
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
3070
#15
15.80.7
14.715.4
Auto0.6
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 17.4
33.20.8
32.732.0
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Third
2942
#31
6.90.8
6.16.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 19.9
4915
#12
26.80.8
25.825.1
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0