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Red10
465414.9
418015.9
326816.0
Blue6
368119.1
430412.7
403015.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4742206080106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3268
#22
16.01.9
14.712.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 3.1
3681
#16
19.11.6
15.613.9
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
4180
#28
15.91.9
22.520.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 0.1
4030
#29
15.91.6
17.015.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
4654
#27
14.91.9
11.39.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 2.2
4304
#25
12.72.7
12.29.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.9
End0.0