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Red31
378616.7
413116.9
307015.8
Blue28
407713.7
378736.6
255724.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26650501001503128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#20
16.90.1
9.08.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 19.7
36.61.7
26.624.9
Auto0.5
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
3786
#19
16.70.2
13.613.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 7.6
2557
#18
24.31.7
21.519.8
Auto0.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
3070
#15
15.80.1
10.610.5
Auto0.6
Teleop15.2
End0.0
red by 2.1
4077
#30
13.71.7
13.411.7
Auto0.5
Teleop13.2
End0.0