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Red148
366354.9
131850.2
465414.9
Blue94
468132.1
396833.2
403015.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1227005010015020025014894

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.5
54.354.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 21.7
33.20.2
33.033.2
Auto0.2
Teleop33.0
End0.0
Second
50.20.5
49.650.1
Auto1.3
Teleop49.0
End0.0
red by 18.2
32.10.2
31.832.0
Auto0.9
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Third
4654
#27
14.90.5
14.314.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
4030
#29
15.90.2
15.615.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.2
End0.0