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Red90
491526.8
378736.6
468214.7
Blue88
549515.9
48828.1
255724.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746320401001201409088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.2
35.635.8
Auto0.5
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 8.5
488
#9
28.10.3
27.828.1
Auto0.2
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
4915
#12
26.80.2
25.826.0
Auto0.2
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 2.5
2557
#18
24.30.3
23.924.3
Auto0.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
4682
#23
14.70.2
13.713.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 1.2
5495
#24
15.90.3
15.515.9
Auto0.6
Teleop15.3
End0.0