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Red39
491524.1
378724.2
357613.8
Blue74
177818.2
568323.5
549513.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63420501001503974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.3
24.223.9
Auto1.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
23.50.5
20.621.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
24.10.3
24.123.8
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 5.9
1778
#15
18.20.5
15.315.8
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
3576
#22
13.80.3
13.713.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
5495
#21
13.50.5
10.611.1
Auto1.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0