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Red95
177818.2
568323.5
549513.5
Blue83
291015.4
420518.7
94918.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484710203040607080909583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.8
21.622.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 4.7
4205
#10
18.70.6
17.518.1
Auto0.6
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
1778
#15
18.20.8
16.417.1
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 0.1
949
#20
18.10.6
16.917.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
5495
#21
13.50.8
11.712.4
Auto1.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 1.9
2910
#23
15.40.6
14.214.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0