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Red25
408913.6
293023.7
430915.8
Blue28
326815.1
48823.2
468312.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5150203040607080902528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.4
23.623.2
Auto1.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 0.5
488
#6
23.20.4
23.523.1
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
4309
#16
15.80.4
15.615.3
Auto1.7
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 0.7
3268
#14
15.10.4
15.515.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
4089
#27
13.60.4
13.513.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 1.2
4683
#29
12.40.4
12.812.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0