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Red31
129419.1
403017.3
468312.4
Blue16
357613.8
291015.4
407714.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524302060801001201403116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#11
19.11.1
19.918.8
Auto1.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 3.7
2910
#23
15.41.3
14.813.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
4030
#19
17.31.2
18.517.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 2.7
4077
#24
14.61.3
15.914.6
Auto0.6
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
4683
#29
12.41.2
14.012.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3576
#22
13.81.3
15.013.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0