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Red81
408913.6
293023.7
430915.8
Blue78
177818.2
568323.5
549513.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514502060801001201408178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.5
23.223.7
Auto1.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 0.2
23.50.6
21.021.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
4309
#16
15.80.5
15.315.8
Auto1.7
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 2.4
1778
#15
18.20.6
15.816.4
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
4089
#27
13.60.5
13.113.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 0.1
5495
#21
13.50.6
11.111.7
Auto1.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0