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Red102
94828.3
323835.2
368115.9
Blue93
291015.4
420518.7
94918.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8542010015010293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.3
35.836.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 16.5
4205
#10
18.70.7
18.118.8
Auto0.6
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Second
948
#4
28.30.3
28.829.2
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 10.2
949
#20
18.10.7
17.418.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
3681
#18
15.90.3
16.516.8
Auto0.7
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 0.5
2910
#23
15.40.7
14.815.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0