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Red80
491524.1
378724.2
357613.8
Blue53
326815.1
48823.2
468312.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6147020801001201401608053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.3
23.924.2
Auto1.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 1.0
488
#6
23.20.0
23.123.2
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
24.10.3
23.824.1
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 9.0
3268
#14
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
3576
#22
13.80.3
13.413.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 1.3
4683
#29
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0