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Red104
94828.3
323835.2
368115.9
Blue83
177818.2
568323.5
549513.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8546010015010483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.4
36.136.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 11.8
23.50.5
23.023.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Second
948
#4
28.30.4
29.229.6
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 10.1
1778
#15
18.20.5
17.718.2
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
3681
#18
15.90.4
16.817.2
Auto0.7
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 2.4
5495
#21
13.50.5
13.013.5
Auto1.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0