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Red86
49224.2
252233.9
382617.9
Blue79
266015.2
129419.1
468118.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744501001502008679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.2
32.732.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 14.8
1294
#11
19.10.5
18.619.1
Auto1.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
492
#7
24.20.2
23.023.2
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 5.9
4681
#13
18.30.5
17.818.3
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
3826
#17
17.90.2
16.716.9
Auto1.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 2.7
2660
#12
15.20.5
14.815.2
Auto0.3
Teleop14.9
End0.0