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Red55
382617.9
252233.9
549513.5
Blue67
46828.3
293023.7
491524.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363802060801001201401605567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.4
16.918.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 9.8
24.12.3
20.222.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Second
3826
#17
17.91.4
12.914.3
Auto1.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 5.8
23.72.3
10.713.0
Auto1.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Third
5495
#21
13.51.4
8.19.5
Auto1.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 5.2
4682
#26
8.32.3
8.210.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0