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Red23
94828.3
290311.5
417310.1
Blue41
266015.2
45128.2
407714.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3635010203040506070802341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#4
28.31.2
23.021.8
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
red by 13.1
2660
#12
15.20.3
10.510.8
Auto0.3
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Second
2903
#28
11.51.2
8.67.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4077
#24
14.60.3
15.916.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
4173
#31
10.11.2
5.34.1
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 1.9
4512
#33
8.20.3
10.711.1
Auto0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0