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Red44
468118.3
326815.1
568323.5
Blue31
129419.1
46828.3
94828.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27640501001504431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.51.4
10.411.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 4.8
948
#4
28.32.5
26.223.8
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
4681
#13
18.31.4
13.214.6
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
1294
#11
19.11.5
22.420.9
Auto1.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
3268
#14
15.11.4
10.011.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 6.8
4682
#26
8.32.5
11.89.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0