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Red6
418010.6
177818.2
417310.1
Blue12
45128.2
468312.4
368115.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22280406080100120140612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1778
#15
18.21.5
10.69.1
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 2.2
3681
#18
15.90.3
11.511.1
Auto0.7
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Second
4180
#32
10.61.5
7.86.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4683
#29
12.40.3
7.67.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
4173
#31
10.11.5
5.43.9
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 1.9
4512
#33
8.20.3
8.98.6
Auto0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0