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Red50
252233.9
403017.3
418010.6
Blue48
48823.2
417310.1
491524.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334402060801001201405048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.1
20.221.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 9.8
24.10.8
22.723.5
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Second
4030
#19
17.31.1
9.710.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 5.9
488
#6
23.20.8
17.518.3
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
4180
#32
10.61.1
6.37.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0
red by 0.5
4173
#31
10.10.8
3.94.8
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0