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Red14
189913.9
408913.6
368115.9
Blue54
45128.2
323835.2
94918.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324102060801001201454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3681
#18
15.91.7
11.19.4
Auto0.7
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 19.3
35.21.1
25.126.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
1899
#30
13.91.7
14.913.2
Auto0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 4.2
949
#20
18.11.1
7.08.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
4089
#27
13.61.7
8.26.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 5.4
4512
#33
8.21.1
8.69.7
Auto0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0