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Red50
46828.3
430915.8
407714.6
Blue113
378724.2
454213.7
252233.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3344020608010012014016050113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4309
#16
15.81.1
10.211.3
Auto1.7
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 18.1
33.95.7
21.427.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Second
4077
#24
14.61.1
16.918.0
Auto0.6
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 9.6
24.25.7
12.818.5
Auto1.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
4682
#26
8.31.1
9.310.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 5.4
4542
#25
13.75.7
9.915.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.2
End0.0