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Red75
357613.8
368115.9
48823.2
Blue85
252233.9
94828.3
408913.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29590501001507585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#6
23.23.3
16.720.0
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 10.7
33.92.4
27.129.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Second
3681
#18
15.93.3
9.412.8
Auto0.7
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 12.3
948
#4
28.32.4
22.625.0
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
3576
#22
13.83.3
8.912.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 0.1
4089
#27
13.62.4
6.58.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0