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Red54
407714.6
468312.4
417310.1
Blue84
189913.9
378724.2
403017.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275104060801001201401605484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4077
#24
14.61.8
18.019.9
Auto0.6
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 9.6
24.22.7
22.525.2
Auto1.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
4683
#29
12.41.8
6.58.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 4.9
4030
#19
17.32.7
13.316.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4173
#31
10.11.7
7.59.2
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 3.8
1899
#30
13.92.9
13.216.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0