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Red50
291015.4
491524.1
189913.9
Blue64
454213.7
293023.7
94918.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533502060801001201405064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.2
21.821.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 0.4
23.71.9
15.417.3
Auto1.2
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Second
2910
#23
15.40.2
14.714.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 2.7
949
#20
18.11.9
9.911.8
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
1899
#30
13.90.2
16.115.9
Auto0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
red by 0.2
4542
#25
13.71.9
14.015.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.2
End0.0