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Red20
46828.3
468312.4
48823.2
Blue42
382617.9
290311.5
323835.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334502060801001201402042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#6
23.21.3
20.018.8
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 12.1
35.20.3
30.230.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
4683
#29
12.41.3
8.37.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 5.5
3826
#17
17.90.3
8.79.0
Auto1.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
4682
#26
8.31.3
8.16.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
2903
#28
11.50.3
5.96.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0