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Red38
252233.9
266015.2
430915.8
Blue30
94918.1
378724.2
368115.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555102040801001201401603830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.91.4
28.427.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 9.7
24.21.7
25.223.5
Auto1.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
4309
#16
15.81.4
15.213.9
Auto1.7
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
949
#20
18.11.7
11.810.1
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
2660
#12
15.21.4
13.211.9
Auto0.3
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 0.7
3681
#18
15.91.7
16.915.2
Auto0.7
Teleop15.3
End0.0