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Red14
189913.9
45128.2
420518.7
Blue47
94828.3
468118.3
382617.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364902060801001201447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4205
#10
18.71.8
15.213.3
Auto0.6
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 9.5
948
#4
28.30.1
24.924.8
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
1899
#30
13.91.8
15.914.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 4.4
4681
#13
18.30.1
14.714.5
Auto1.3
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
4512
#33
8.21.8
8.06.2
Auto0.3
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 9.7
3826
#17
17.90.1
9.08.9
Auto1.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0