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Red64
568323.5
48823.2
407714.6
Blue79
418010.6
94918.1
291015.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552602040801001201406479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.8
17.017.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 5.4
949
#20
18.13.2
10.113.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
488
#6
23.20.8
18.819.6
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 7.8
2910
#23
15.43.2
13.316.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
4077
#24
14.60.8
16.817.6
Auto0.6
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 3.9
4180
#32
10.63.4
8.311.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0