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Red61
382617.9
420518.7
418010.6
Blue80
94828.3
291015.4
323835.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29500204060801001201401606180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4205
#10
18.72.3
14.216.5
Auto0.6
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 16.5
35.22.6
15.318.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
3826
#17
17.92.3
10.512.9
Auto1.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 10.4
948
#4
28.32.6
20.323.0
Auto5.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
4180
#32
10.62.3
8.110.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2910
#23
15.42.6
12.715.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0