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Red70
177818.2
129419.1
357613.8
Blue63
568323.5
189913.9
49224.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323602060801001201401607063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1294
#11
19.11.8
19.020.9
Auto1.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
492
#7
24.22.2
14.216.3
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Second
1778
#15
18.23.0
6.89.8
Auto1.2
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 5.3
23.52.2
7.49.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
3576
#22
13.83.0
7.911.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0
blue by 0.1
1899
#30
13.92.2
15.517.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.7
End0.0