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Red39
214718.6
159525.0
358614.2
Blue42
498018.2
406118.8
292313.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383502060801003942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.0
15.515.5
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 6.2
18.80.5
15.716.2
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
18.60.0
13.413.4
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 0.4
18.20.5
12.412.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
3586
#11
14.20.0
10.010.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 0.7
2923
#12
13.60.5
8.38.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0