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Red20
321912.8
41259.3
387614.4
Blue15
369318.0
255511.5
255721.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323602060801001201401602015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3876
#10
14.41.1
8.27.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 7.1
2557
#15
21.51.1
16.115.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
3219
#20
12.81.1
13.412.3
Auto0.2
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 5.2
18.01.8
12.110.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
4125
#25
9.31.1
11.910.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 2.1
11.51.8
8.76.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0