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Red17
358614.2
29449.5
292816.4
Blue1
41042.8
21482.9
44956.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37110206080100171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#16
16.41.4
14.112.7
Auto0.5
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 9.5
4495
#24
6.90.2
5.65.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
Second
3586
#11
14.20.9
10.39.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 11.3
2148
#26
2.90.2
3.93.8
Auto0.2
Teleop2.8
End0.0
Third
2944
#21
9.51.4
9.68.2
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 6.7
4104
#27
2.80.2
5.55.3
Auto0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0