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Red10
378913.3
408210.2
412012.1
Blue16
37120.8
322014.8
292816.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314402060801001201401601016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3789
#23
13.32.0
12.410.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 3.1
2928
#16
16.42.3
21.018.7
Auto0.5
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
4120
#18
12.12.0
12.210.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 2.7
14.81.4
13.312.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
4082
#19
10.22.0
9.67.6
Auto0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0
red by 9.4
3712
#28
0.82.3
9.26.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.8
End0.0