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Red22
21482.9
451319.1
498018.2
Blue42
406118.8
214718.6
387614.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34390501001502002242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.11.1
11.710.6
Auto0.3
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 0.3
18.80.2
18.318.5
Auto0.0
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Second
18.21.1
13.512.4
Auto0.3
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 0.4
18.60.2
13.213.4
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Third
2148
#26
2.91.1
10.59.4
Auto0.2
Teleop2.8
End0.0
blue by 11.5
3876
#10
14.40.2
8.38.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.5
End0.0