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Red20
41042.8
577913.0
214916.0
Blue22
41259.3
159525.0
255721.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2558040801001201401602022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2149
#14
16.00.9
14.213.3
Auto0.3
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 9.0
25.02.8
19.316.5
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
5779
#17
13.010.5
18.17.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 8.5
2557
#15
21.51.7
20.518.8
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
4104
#27
2.80.9
8.67.6
Auto0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0
blue by 6.5
4125
#25
9.32.8
15.512.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0