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Red25
292313.6
491816.5
29449.5
Blue57
511120.9
460810.2
322014.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352902060801001202557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4918
#13
16.50.8
16.115.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 4.4
20.92.1
11.413.5
Auto0.0
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
2923
#12
13.60.8
9.99.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 1.2
14.81.3
12.013.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
2944
#21
9.50.8
9.08.2
Auto0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4608
#22
10.22.1
8.010.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0