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Red8
255511.5
41259.3
37120.8
Blue29
214718.6
21482.9
322014.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21320406080100120829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.51.3
6.45.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 7.2
18.60.2
13.513.3
Auto0.2
Teleop18.4
End0.0
Second
4125
#25
9.31.3
9.38.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 5.5
14.80.1
14.013.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
3712
#28
0.81.3
7.66.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.8
End0.0
blue by 2.2
2148
#26
2.90.2
3.83.6
Auto0.2
Teleop2.8
End0.0