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Red10
159525.0
378913.3
412012.1
Blue26
387614.4
255721.5
408210.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33260204060801001026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.01.9
15.213.3
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 3.5
2557
#15
21.50.1
15.014.9
Auto0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
3789
#23
13.31.9
10.88.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 1.1
3876
#10
14.40.2
7.16.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Third
4120
#18
12.11.9
7.15.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 1.9
4082
#19
10.20.2
6.16.0
Auto0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0